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Invited Speakers and Panelists
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| Keynote
Speaker:
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John Phillips, Chief Scientist, Central Intelligence
Agency (CIA)
“Information Technology Research for National Security” Opening Keynote: Tuesday, May 23rd, 8:30 am |
| Invited
Panels
Plenary Panel
Wednesday, May 24th, 8:00-9:30 am |
Agency Perspectives
Panelists:
- Art Becker, Intelligence Technology Innovation
Center
- Robert Ross, Department of Homeland Security
- Bruce Baicar, Department of Homeland Security
- Larry Brandt, National Science Foundation
Data Mining for Homeland Security:
Panelists:
- Jaiwei Han, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
- Paul Kantor, Rutgers University
- Bhavani
Thuraisingham, University of Texas at Dallas
- Hsinchun Chen, University of Arizona
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Wednesday, May 24th, 9:40-11:50 am |
| Invited
Speakers
Tuesday, May 23rd, 1:30 - 3:15 pm |
Biosecurity and Public/Animal Health
Panelists:
- Carlos Castillo-Chavez, Arizona State University
- Greg Cooper, University of Pittsburgh
- Daniel Ford, IBM Almaden Research Center
- Bill Lober, University of Washington
- Marty Vanier, Kansas State University
Terrorism Informatics Speakers
- Laura Dugan, University of Maryland
- Major General Annette Sobel, United States Air Force,
“The Role of Information Superiority in the Global War on Terrorism”
- Brian Jackson, RAND
- Yael Shahar, The International Policy Institute
for Counter-Terrorism (ICT), Israel
- Don Radlauer, The International Policy Institute
for Counter-Terrorism (ICT), Israel
- Joshua Sinai, Logos Technologies
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See Schedule for details on dates and times |
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Biographies
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Dr.
John R. Phillips
Chief Scientist -- Central Intelligence Agency
In
October 2000, Dr. John R. Phillips was appointed as the CIA's
Chief Scientist, a position created by the Director for Science
and Technology (DS&T) to strengthen and revitalize research
and development (R&D) within the CIA and the Intelligence Community
(IC). Dr. Phillips also serves as the Director of the Intelligence
Community's Intelligence Technology Innovation Center (ITIC), which
supports the Associate Director of National Intelligence for Science
and Technology (ADNI/S&T) in providing Community leadership
and coordination to find corporate solutions for the most pressing
scientific and technologic problems facing the IC. Prior to these
assignments, Dr. Phillips served as the Director of the DS&T's
Investment Program Office.
Dr. Phillips' 31-year career at the Los Alamos National Laboratory
(LANL) includes numerous leadership positions in nuclear safeguards,
arms control and nonproliferation, chemical weapons detection and
verification, environmental monitoring and remediation, nuclear
facilities design, and R&D management. His other assignments
included a two-year tour in Vienna, Austria, with the International
Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and service as a US team leader for
negotiations with the Russian Federation for improving nuclear safeguards
at their nuclear weapons assembly and disassembly facilities. Dr.
Phillips also participated on an Iraqi inspection team following
the first Gulf War.
Since 1986, Dr. Phillips has headed several research and development
groups at LANL, including the Safeguards Systems Group, the Materials
and Chemical Processing Group, and the Analytical Chemistry Group.
These components addressed technical issues at the intersection
of executive policy and intelligence support, including treaty verification
and mutual assurance in arms control and weapons proliferation matters
for all types (nuclear, chemical, and biological) of weapons of
mass destruction.
Dr. Phillips has extensive experience overseas, including numerous
safeguard trips to Russia and participation in IAEA inspections
in India, Taiwan, Germany, Russia, and Canada. He also worked with
the British as Co-Chair of the US/UK Analytical Chemistry Working
Group. He has written and/or contributed to more than 100 technical
publications and provided numerous presentations to federal government
agencies, private industries, and academia on behalf of the CIA
and IC.
Dr. Phillips has Doctorate and Master of Science degrees in Analytical
Chemistry, and a Master of Business Administration, from the University
of New Mexico. His Bachelor of Science degree in Applied Mathematics
is from Oregon State University. He and his wife, Janet, have two
sons.
Dr. Hsinchun Chen is McClelland Professor of Management Information Systems at the University of Arizona and Andersen Consulting Professor of the Year (1999). He received his B.S. degree from the National Chiao-Tung University in Taiwan, MBA from the SUNY Buffalo, and Ph.D. in Information Systems from New York University. He is the author of eight books and more than 125 SCI journal articles covering intelligence analysis, data/text/web mining, digital library, knowledge management, medical informatics, and Web computing. He serves on the editorial boards of: the Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology, ACM Transactions on Information Systems, IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems, and Decision Support Systems.
Dr. Chen is a Scientific Counselor/Advisor for National Library
of Medicine (USA), Academia Sinica (Taiwan), and National Library
of China. He has served as an advisor for major National Science
Foundation (NSF), Department of Justice (DOJ), Department of Homeland
Security (DHS), NLM, and other international research programs
in digital library, digital government, medical informatics, and
national security. Dr Chen is founder and director of the UA Artificial
Intelligence Lab, and also founder of the Hoffman E-Commerce Lab.
He served as conference co-chair of the ACM/IEEE Joint Conference
on Digital Libraries (JCDL) in 2004. Dr. Chen spearheaded the development
of the International Conference of Asian Digital Libraries (ICADL)
and has served as the conference general chair or international
program committee chair for the past seven ICADL meetings. Dr.
Chen is also instrumental in the development of Intelligence and
Security Informatics research in U.S. and had served as conference
co-chair of the NSF/NIJ/DHS/CIA-sponsored Symposium on Intelligence
and Security Informatics (ISI) in 2003 and 2004, and the IEEE International
Conference on Intelligence and Security Informatics in 2005. His
COPLINK system has been widely adopted in law enforcement (more
than 100 agencies) and by the intelligence community (CIA, NSA,
and Department of Homeland Security) in the USA through the UA spin-off
company, Knowledge Computing Corporation, that he founded in 2000.
Dr. Chen has also received numerous industry and university awards
in knowledge management education and research including: AT&T
Foundation Award, SAP Research Award, University of Arizona Technology
Innovation Award, and the Andersen Consulting Professor of the Year
Award.
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Carlos Castillo-Chavez is a Regents and a Joaquin Bustoz Jr. Professor at Arizona State University. CCC's research program lives at the interface of the natural and social sciences. CCC's research program puts emphasis on the role of dynamic social landscapes on disease evolution. In this context, in collaboration with various researchers (graduate students, postdocs and faculty elsewhere), joint work is conducted on the role of cross-immunity on the evolution and dynamics of influenza; the impact of behavioral changes, long periods of infectiousness, variable infectivity, co-infections, prostitution, social networks and vaccine efficacy on HIV dynamics; the role of exogenous re-infection, variable progression rates, vaccination, public transportation, close and casual contacts (generalized households) on tuberculosis dynamics and control; the impact of life-history vector dynamics on dengue epidemics; and on the identification of time response scales for epidemics like foot and mouth disease (Uruguay). More recently, CCC and collaborators have worked on the role of dispersal and disease as enhancing mechanisms of ecological diversity. Most recently, research efforts focus on problems at the interface of homeland security and disease invasions (natural or deliberate) and on models for the spread of social "diseases" like alcoholism and ecstasy. Work on models for the spread of extreme ideologies and their impact on cultural norms is also under way. CCC has over 150 publications and has edited or coauthored seven books. He has received numerous awards including two White House Awards.
In addition, Carlos Castillo-Chavez is the Executive Director of two institutes: the Mathematical and Theoretical Biology Institute or MTBI which focuses on providing research opportunities at the interface of the biological, computational and mathematical sciences from the undergraduate to the graduate and postdoctoral levels and SUMS (Strengthening the Understanding of Mathematics and Science) which provides successful university experiences for students from economically disadvantaged groups in order to enhance their prospects for future academic success.
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Gregory F. Cooper, M.D., Ph.D. is an Associate Professor of Medicine and of Intelligent Systems at the University of Pittsburgh. He obtained a B.S. from M.I.T. in Computer Science in 1977, a Ph.D. in Medical Information Sciences from Stanford University in 1985, and an M.D. from Stanford in 1986. He is Director of the Center for Biomedical Informatics at the University of Pittsburgh. His research involves the use of Bayesian probability theory and decision theory to address biomedical informatics problems, including the development, implementation and evaluation of Bayesian biosurveillance algorithms. He has over 90 peer-reviewed research publications related to biomedical informatics and associated computer science research issues. He has served on the editorial boards of the Machine Learning journal, Journal of Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery, International Journal of Approximate Reasoning, Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research, Artificial Intelligence in Medicine, and the Journal of Biomedical Informatics.
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Dr.
Laura Dugan is an Assistant Professor in the Department
of Criminology and Criminal Justice at the University of Maryland
, College Park . She is an active member of the National Consortium
on Violence Research, the Maryland Population Research Center
, and the National Center for the Study of Terrorism and the Response
to Terrorism. In her recent work, she examines the root causes
of and policy responses to terrorism. She also examines the consequences
of criminal victimization and the efficacy of victimization prevention
policy and practice. In her research, she designs methodological
strategies to overcome data limitations inherent in the social
sciences.
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James O. Ellis III is a terrorism and weapons of mass destruction specialist. He serves as MIPT's Research and Program Coordinator and manages their Terrorism Knowledge Base and analyzes terrorism and counterterrorism policy. Prior to joining MIPT, Mr. Ellis worked in the Response Division of the Oklahoma Department of Civil Emergency Management where he revised the State Emergency Operations Plan to address WMD events. A former Fulbright Scholar, Mr. Ellis received his Master of Letters in International Security Studies at the University of St. Andrews in Scotland and his bachelor's degrees in Linguistics and International Relations from the University of Oklahoma.
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Daniel Ford is a Research Staff Member in the Healthcare Information Infrastructure group in the Department of Computer Science at the IBM Almaden Research Center in San Jose, California. He joined IBM Research in 1992 and has since been a researcher in a number of different areas including high availability tertiary storage systems, web search, life science applications and mostly recently the development of novel software tools for disease modeling and epidemiology. Dr. Ford has extensive publications and holds 19 US Patents. He received his Ph.D from the University of Waterloo, his M.Sc. from the University of British Columbia and his B.Sc. (Hons.) from Simon Fraser University, all in Computer Science. He resides in New York with his wife and three children.
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Dr. Jiawei Han is a Professor in the Department of Computer Science at
the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign. He has been working
on research into data mining, data warehousing, stream data mining,
spatiotemporal and multimedia data mining, biological data mining,
social network analysis, text and Web mining, and software bug mining,
with over 300 conference and journal publications. He has chaired or
served in many program committees of international conferences and
workshops. He also served or is serving on the editorial boards for Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery, IEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering, Journal of Computer Science and Technology, and
Journal of Intelligent Information Systems. He is currently serving as founding Editor-in-Chief of ACM Transactions on Knowledge Discovery from Data (TKDD), and on the Board of Directors for the Executive
Committee of ACM Special Interest Group on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining (SIGKDD). Jiawei is an ACM Fellow and an IEEE senior member. He has received many awards and recognition, including ACM SIGKDD Innovation Award (2004) and IEEE Computer Society Technical Achievement Award (2005).
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Dr. Brian Jackson is Associate Physical Scientist
in RAND's Science and Technology Policy Institute. Brian Jackson
holds a Master's Degree in Science, Technology, and Public Policy
from the George Washington University 's Elliott School of International
Affairs and a Ph.D. in Bio-Inorganic Chemistry from the California
Institute of Technology. Current and recent research activities
include an on-going project on personal protective technology for
emergency responders for the National Personal Protective Technology
Laboratory at NIOSH, preparation of a post-9/11 lessons-learned
report on protecting emergency workers at terrorist incident sites,
work on national R&D priorities for information infrastructure
protection, analysis of federal R&D activities relevant to counter-terrorism
and weapons of mass destruction, study of biometric technologies,
a study on technology acquisition by law enforcement organizations,
and an examination of the adoption of new technologies by terrorist
groups.
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| Dr. Bill Lober, MD MS, is an Associate Professor at the University of Washington (UW) in the Schools of Nursing, Medicine, and Public Health & Community Medicine. Dr Lober directs the UW Clinical Informatics Research Group, which focuses on the development, integration, and evaluation of information systems to support individual and population health. His academic interests include information system-based surveillance; web-based information systems; support of population-based research in public health and biomedical research; computer supported collaborative work; and privacy and security. Dr Lober is a board member of the International Society for Disease Surveillance, is a chief editor of Advances in Disease Surveillance, and was the organizing chair of the 2005 Syndromic Surveillance Conference. He graduated from the UCSF/UC Berkeley Joint Medical Program, trained in Emergency Medicine at University of Arizona, is EM board certified, and completed a National Library of Medicine fellowship in Medical Informatics. In addition to his clinical training, he has a BSEE in Electrical Engineering from Tufts University and 10 years of industry experience in hardware and software engineering.
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| Dr. Paul B. Kantor is Professor of Information Science with additional appointments in Operations Research and Computer Science, all at Rutgers University. He was educated in Physics and Mathematics at Columbia (A.B. 1959) and Princeton (Ph.D. 1963). He is author of over 180 publications in such areas as information processing and retrieval, and decision making, and has been recognized by the Research Award of the American Society for Information Science and Technology. His research has been supported by such agencies as the NSF, DARPA, ARDA and the US Department of Education. He is a Fellow of the American Association for the Advancement of Science and the founding Editor of the journal Information Retrieval. He has served as program Chair for the conference on Document Recognition and Retrieval, and the International conference on Intelligence and Security Informatics. His recent research foci include data fusion, and information systems for text filtering, systems to support question answering, collaborative information retrieval systems, and distributed Data Mining. He directs the Rutgers Interdisciplinary Center for Studies in Information Privacy and Security.
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Don Radlauer became an Associate of the International Policy Institute for Counter-Terrorism in October 2001. He has published a number of articles and analyses for the Institute, including a much-cited overview of suspicious stock trading prior to the September 11 attacks in the United States. A trained pilot, he also carried out a “pilot’s view” analysis of the September 11 hijackings, examining the flight paths in an attempt to determine at what point the hijackers took control of the doomed airliners, the landmarks that they used to reach their targets, and possibly even their seating arrangements. As Lead Researcher for ICT’s “Al-Aqsa Intifada” Database Project, Mr. Radlauer developed the project’s technological infrastructure, carried out the statistical analysis, and wrote up the project’s findings. The resulting study, “An Engineered Tragedy,” revealed some surprising patterns in the demographics of Palestinian and Israeli casualties since the current conflict began in September 2000. Don Radlauer earned a Bachelor of Arts degree in History and Sociology of Science (specializing in the history of technology) from the University of Pennsylvania.
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Robert G. Ross (Captain, USCG (Retired)): Captain Ross
is currently serving as the Deputy Director, Office of Comparative
Studies in the DHS Science and Technology Directorate. On active
service from 1973 to 2003, Captain Ross spent the majority of his
career in the Marine Safety and Environmental Protection programs.
Duty stations included Baltimore, MD ; Washington, DC ; Guam ;
Norfolk, VA ; London, England ; New Orleans, LA ; Miami , FL
; and San Juan, Puerto Rico . In his last operational assignment
he was Captain of the Port and Officer in Charge of Marine Inspection
in San Juan where he was responsible for commercial shipping safety,
port safety and security and marine environmental protection activities
in Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. While in San Juan,
he served as the Federal On-Scene Coordinator for several major
incidents including the MORRIS J. BERMAN oil spill, the largest
US oil spill since the EXXON VALDEZ and the largest and most successful
oil spill response ever managed in its entirety by the Coast Guard.
While serving as the Chief, Office of Vessel Traffic Management
in CG Headquarters, Captain Ross headed US delegations to three
successive negotiating sessions of the International Maritime Organization's
Navigation Sub-Committee. His final position in the Coast Guard
was as the Chief, Office of Strategic Analysis from which he advised
the Commandant and other senior CG leaders on emerging issues, including
Homeland Security, which would impact the Coast Guard. In his current
position, Captain Ross is conducting or overseeing studies intended
to shed light on “next threat” and “threat after next” issues in
Homeland Security, the nexus between terrorism and both offensive
and defensive technologies and on analytic methodologies, including
risk assessment, to support more effective decision-making in the
national Homeland Security enterprise. Captain Ross holds a BS in
Ocean Engineering from the USCG Academy and an MS in Systems Management
from the Florida Institute of Technology. He was also a fellow in
the MIT Center for International Studies Seminar XXI program for
the 2004-2005 academic year.
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Yael Shahar heads ICT’s database project. She designed the ICT terrorist connections database and the terrorist incidents database, used for tracking links between terrorist individuals, front companies, and organizations. Ms. Shahar specializes in the study of technological trends, as applied to terrorism and intelligence sharing. She lectures on terrorism trends, non-conventional terrorism, and threat assessment at the International Policy Institute for Counter Terrorism, Interdisciplinary Center Herzliya, as well as security conferences and seminars worldwide. Ms. Shahar’s primarily responsibility is conducting open-source datamining in support of ICT research projects, as well as venue-specific threat assessments for ICT’s commercial clients. Her background is in physics, database design, and security and installation protection. She serves as a reservist in the IDF hostage rescue unit, and as a sniper in Israel’s Border Guard “Matmid” units.
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Joshua Sinai is a program manager for terrorism studies at Logos Technologies. Formerly, he served as a senior policy analyst in the Intelligence Division at ANSER. Prior to his work at ANSER, he was a senior analyst at SAIC (Science Applications International Corporation) and at the Library of Congress’s Federal Research Division. He is a specialist on international strategic and security issues; his professional work focuses on assessing terrorism in all its dimensions— the origins of terrorism, terrorist group profiles, developing indications and warning methodologies to forecast terrorist warfare (particularly the paths, links, and processes involved in the transition by terrorist groups from conventional to chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear, and cyber-warfare) and new approaches for governments to resolve terrorist insurgencies. Among his publications is the handbook, coauthored with his colleague at ANSER, Lt. Colonel Jeffrey Adams (U.S. Army, retired), Protecting Schools and Universities from Terrorism: A Guide for Administrators and Teachers, published by the American Society for Industrial Security. Joshua Sinai obtained his M.A. and Ph.D. from the Political Science Department at Columbia University.
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Major
General Annette Sobel is the director of Intelligence, National Guard Bureau and a standing
member of the Defense Intelligence Agency's Advisory Board. She
is also a member the Senior Officer Advisory Panel for the Joint
Military Intelligence College. Her work has emphasized Weapons
of Mass Destruction information analysis, and technology transition
to field operational environments and advanced tactical aircraft.
Prior to her current assignments, she served as National Guard
Assistant for Weapons of Mass Destruction and Civil Support to
the Chief, National Guard Bureau, after entering the National
Guard as state air surgeon, Headquarters New Mexico Air National
Guard. General Sobel entered the United States Army in July 1986
as a second lieutenant and was assigned as the director of Undergraduate
Medical Education in the Department of Family Medicine, Womack
Army Community Hospital, Ft Bragg, North Carolina . She later
served as commander, United States Army Medical Holding Company.
She served as the officer-in-charge of the 44th Medical Brigade
Field Hospital during Operation Just Cause, Panama. She subsequently
joined the Air National Guard in 1991, where she was assigned
as the chief, Aerospace Medicine, 178th Medical Squadron, Ohio
Air National Guard, Ohio . She has also commanded the 178th Medical
Squadron, Ohio Air National Guard and the 150th Medical Squadron,
New Mexico Air National Guard, New Mexico .
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Dr. Bhavani Thuraisingham is a full Professor of Computer Science and the Director of Cyber Security Research Center at the Erik Jonsson School of Engineering and Computer Science at the University of Texas at Dallas (UTD). Prior to joining UTD, she was a program director for three years at the National Science Foundation (NSF) in Arlington, VA on IPA from the MITRE Corporation and was the founder of the Data and Applications Security program at NSF. Dr. Thuraisingham has worked for the MITRE Corporation in Bedford, MA since January 1989 where she was held various positions including department head in Data and Information Management and Chief Scientist in Data Management. She has also worked for the Computer Industry in Mpls, MN for over five years and has served as an adjunct professor of computer science and member of the graduate faculty at the University of Minnesota and later taught at Boston University.
Dr. Thuraisingham’s research interests are in the area of Information Security and data management. She has published over 300 research papers including over 60 journals articles and is the inventor of three patents. She is a fellow of IEEE, a fellow of AAAS and received IEEE Computer Society’s 1997 technical achievement award for her research in information security. She is also a member of ACM and a chartered member of the British Computer Society.
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Marty Vanier, DVM joined the KSU National Agricultural Biosecurity Center in June of 2003 and serves as Associate Director. She assists the Director, Dr. David R. Franz, in the administration of activities of the Center including coordination of research teams, monitoring legislative and Federal agency activities, and directing activities in support of development of relationships between NABC and state and federal agencies, industry groups, emergency management, law enforcement and the intelligence community. The NABC was established by KSU to coordinate interdisciplinary activities focused on protecting America’s agricultural infrastructure and economy from endemic and emerging biological threats.
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Abstracts
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"Mining Motion Anomaly in Massive Moving Objects" By Dr. Han, Professor in the Department of Computer Science at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign.
With the advances in sensory and mobile computing technology, enormous amounts of data about moving objects are being collected. With such data, it becomes possible to automatically identify suspicious behavior in object movements. Anomaly detection in massive moving objects has many important applications, especially in surveillance, law enforcement, and homeland security.
Due to the sheer volume of spatiotemporal and non-spatial data (such as weather and object type) associated with moving objects, it is challenging to develop a method that can efficiently and effectively detect anomalies of object movements in complex scenarios. The problem is further complicated by the fact that anomalies may occur at various levels of abstraction and be associated with different time and location
granularities. We propose an efficient and scalable classification method, called motion-classifier, and implemented it in our moving-object anomaly detection system, motion-alert. Our experiments show that the system is more accurate than traditional classification techniques.
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"Epidemiological Approaches and its Applications to Public Security" By Carlos Castillo-Chavez a Regents and a Joaquin Bustoz Jr. Professor at Arizona State University.
A "contagion/contact" perspective is used to illustrate some of the challenges posed to mathematics from efforts to anticipate, prevent and control acts of terror. Examples are provided from various contexts.
The following points will be discussed:
(1) What are the differences between natural epidemics and deliberate releases of biological agents?
(2) What is the role of transient populations and response delays on the consequences and control of the deliberate release of biological agents in mass transportation systems?
(3) What are the differences between epidemics and the spread of behaviors, ideas or rumors?
(4) What are the forces behind the establishment of resilient communities of fanatics?
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"Bayesian Biosurveillance" By Gregory F. Cooper, M.D., Ph.D. an Associate Professor of Medicine and of Intelligent Systems at the University of Pittsburgh.
This presentation will describe Bayesian methods for detecting outbreaks of disease. It will illustrate how a Bayesian approach to biosurveilance differs from standard frequentist approaches in two fundamental ways. First, the Bayesian approach facilitates constructing models of disease outbreaks based on combining knowledge and training data. Second, given data relevant to predicting an outbreak, a Bayesian model outputs the probability of such an outbreak, rather than a less directly informative statistic, such as a p value. The probability of an outbreak can be used directly in decision analyses to suggest what actions to take in the current situation. In this presentation, two Bayesian biosurveillance systems will be described; one system focuses in detail on detecting a specific disease and the other system is designed to detect outbreak diseases more broadly.
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"The Spatio-Temporal Epidemiological Modeler (STEM)" By Dan Ford, IBM Almaden Research Center.
The Spatio-Temporal Epidemiological Modeler (STEM) is a system developed by
IBM Research for modeling the spread of infectious diseases over time in any geographic area. It is designed to be a common, globally accessible tool that promotes open collaboration and joint development of disease models by different distributed researchers. IBM intends to release STEM as an opensource offering, likely as the first part of the public health component of the Eclipse Open Healthcare Framework (http://www.eclipse.org/ohf). The underlying representational framework of a model in STEM is a "graph" which represents interconnected geographic locations and their relationships. In this approach, a city could be represented by a "node" while an air transport link between two cities could be represented by an "edge" between two nodes. The state of a disease in an area is represented by a label on a node. It is possible to have multiple labels so multiple diseases and multiple populations (e.g., Humans, Mosquitoes) can be simulated simultaneously. Dynamic factors such as bird migrations or weather are also easily represented and can be incorporated into models. STEM is being implemented on the popular Eclipse tools framework (http://www.eclpse.org).
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“How Terrorists Learn” by Dr. Brian Jackson, Associate Physical Scientist, RAND, Science and Technology Policy
Institute.
Continuing conflicts between violent groups and states generate
an ever-present demand for higher-quality and more timely information
to support operations to combat terrorism. Better ways are needed
to understand how terrorist and insurgent groups adapt over time
into more-effective organizations and increasingly dangerous threats.
Because learning is the link between what a group wants to do and
its ability to gather the needed information and resources to actually
do it, a better understanding of the group learning process could
contribute to the design of more-effective measures for combating
terrorism. This presentation will focus on collecting and analyzing
the available information on terrorist groups' learning behavior,
combining input from the organizational learning literature, published
literature on terrorist and insurgent groups, and insights drawn
from case studies and workshop discussions. It describes a model
of learning as a four-part process, comprising acquiring, interpreting,
distributing, and storing information and knowledge. This analytical
framework, by providing a fuller picture of how terrorist groups
try to adapt and evolve over time, may help in understanding the
behavior of individual groups and the level of threat they pose;
in developing effective counterstrategies to detect and thwart their
efforts; and in appropriately allocating resources to counter potential
and proven adversaries. ( RAND reports on organizational learning
are available at: http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG331/ )
“The Role of Information Superiority in the Global War
on Terrorism” by Major General Annette Sobel, USAF,
National Guard Bureau, Director of Intelligence
Organizational agility, thoughtful purpose in information/intelligence-sharing
and collaboration, speed of action and decision-making are critical
elements to winning the War on Terrorism. These elements define
the guidance of the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, General
Peter Pace, United States Marine Corps. The role of each element
should be considered in the knowledge discovery process and a focused,
yet adaptive, approach should be adopted in the effort toward terrorist/extremist
early cueing, identification, and warning. This presentation will
focus on the different roles in the war on terrorism. |
| "Animal Health and Biosecurity," by Marty Vanier, DVM, Associate Director, National Agricultural Biosecurity Center, Kansas State University
The events of 11 September 2001 raised the national consciousness regarding external threats to homeland security. The subsequent assaults with anthrax further heightened these concerns, especially with regard to the threat of bioterrorism. Unfortunately, these events also confirmed that the country is not prepared to deal with the full spectrum of asymmetric threats that exist in the world today. They also underscored the fact that the nation’s agricultural base and food supply are vulnerable. That agriculture could be a target for attack is not a new concept. The first plant pathogen was weaponized by the U.S. in 1955 as part of the offensive biological weapons program. A number of animal and zoonotic pathogens were weaponized as well. Although the U.S. terminated its offensive biological weapons program in 1969, agriculture-specific pathogens are known to be part of existing, foreign state-sponsored weapons programs. Harmful agricultural pathogens also exist naturally worldwide and are easily accessible. They can be disseminated unintentionally or intentionally using low-tech delivery methods, and regardless of intent or method, the outcomes can be devastating. Zoonotic diseases are of special concern, owing to the potential human health effects beyond those on food animals. Although anthrax has captured much of the recent attention, Nipah virus, Japanese encephalitis, tularemia, brucellosis and scores of other agents pose severe threats. Although not a zoonotic disease, Foot and Mouth Disease (FMD), if intentionally or unintentionally released in the U.S., would have a catastrophic effect on the food and fiber economy. America’s ability to respond in a timely manner to any of these situations will depend upon a full understanding of the threats, the deployment of effective surveillance systems, and the ability to mange the consequences promptly."
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